Main Article Content

Abstract

Cardiovascular disorders (such as heart attacks and strokes), cancer, chronic respiratory diseases (such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma), and diabetes are the most common non-communicable diseases in the world. Projecting mortality patterns can offer policymakers and planners useful information. This study employed a retrospective approach which involved taking secondary data from events that have already occurred and making inferences and projections about the future. A trend line was used to forecast the death rate. The cause-specific mortality rates of the four main NCDs (cancer, cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and diabetes) were extracted from DHIMs (District Health Information Management System). The information gathered was entered into Microsoft Excel 2016. The mortality rates were then categorized into their respective groups and a time-series graph was used to graphically present the trend of NCD mortality from 2013 to 2021. The projection for the upcoming years was done by fitting a ‘trend line’ into the time series graph that was already generated. The findings showed that cancer had a mortality rate of 0 for the seven-year period, CVDs had a mortality rate of 3.4% for the same period, CRDs had a mortality rate of 1.4% and diabetes had a mortality rate of 0.8% for the same period. The findings further showed that males had higher mortality rates than females for most years during the seven-year period. The mortality rates for three categories of non-communicable diseases will continue to increase (CVDs: 3.4% to 3.7%, CRDs: 1.4% in 2013 to 1.9% in 2020, diabetes 0.8% in 2013 to 1.2% in 2025). At Bono Regional Hospital, by 2025, mortality rates from non-communicable diseases are expected to rise. This could be due to the fact that the country is still developing, and as a result, people are picking up unhealthy habits from the developed countries.

Keywords

Non-communicable disease mortality trends projections

Article Details

How to Cite
Barimah, A. J., Yeboah, F. O., Commey, R. D., Alorvi, S., Asare-Kyei, B., Nketiah, Y. B., Dumba, J., & Issah, A.-R. (2023). Trends in Non-Communicable Disease Mortality at the Bono Regional Hospital, Sunyani-Ghana. International Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies and Innovative Research, 10(3), 1636–1649. https://doi.org/10.53075/Ijmsirq/35543536

References

  1. Aikins, A., Kushitor, M., Koram, K., Gyamfi, S., & Ogedegbe, G. (2014). chronic NCD in Accra aikins et al 2014. BMC Public Health, 14(Suppl 2), 1–9.
  2. Amini, M., Zayeri, F., & Salehi, M. (2021). Trend analysis of cardiovascular disease mortality, incidence, and mortality-to-incidence ratio: results from global burden of disease study 2017. BMC Public Health 2021 21:1, 21(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1186/S12889-021-10429-0
  3. Carvalho Malta, D., Duncan, B. B., Schmidt, M. I., Teixeira, R., Luiz, A., Ribeiro, P., Santos Felisbino-Mendes, M., Machado, Í. E., Velasquez-Melendez, G., Campos, L., Brant, C., Augusto, D., Silva, S., Maria De Azeredo Passos, V., Nascimento, B. R., Cousin, E., Glenn, S., & Naghavi, M. (2020). Trends in mortality due to non-communicable diseases in the Brazilian adult population: national and subnational estimates and projections for 2030. Population Health Metrics. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-020-00216-1
  4. Ministry of Health. (2012). National Policy for the Prevention and Control of Chronic Non-Communicable Diseases in Ghana. August, 1–27.
  5. ReFaey, K., Tripathi, S., Grewal, S. S., Bhargav, A. G., Quinones, D. J., Chaichana, K. L., Antwi, S. O., Cooper, L. T., Meyer, F. B., Dronca, R. S., Diasio, R. B., & Quinones-Hinojosa, A. (2021). Cancer Mortality Rates Increasing vs Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Decreasing in the World: Future Implications. Mayo Clinic Proceedings: Innovations, Quality & Outcomes, 5(3), 645–653. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.MAYOCPIQO.2021.05.005
  6. Sanuade, O. A. (2012). Regional Institute For Population Studies Univerisity Of Ghana Trends Of Cardiovascular Disease Mortality In Ghana: A Case Study Of Mortality Cases At Korle Bu Teaching Hospital. Retrieved August 31, 2021, from http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh
  7. Shadmani, F. K., Farzadfar, F., Larijani, B., Mirzaei, M., & Haghdoost, A. A. (2019b). Trend and projection of mortality rate due to non-communicable diseases in Iran: A modeling study. PLoS ONE, 14(2), e0211622. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0211622
  8. Sidney, S., Quesenberry, C. P., Jaffe, M. G., Sorel, M., Nguyen-Huynh, M. N., Kushi, L. H., Go, A. S., & Rana, J. S. (2016). Recent Trends in Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States and Public Health Goals. JAMA Cardiology, 1(5), 594–599. https://doi.org/10.1001/JAMACARDIO.2016.1326
  9. United Nations. (2014). Non-Communicable Diseases Deemed Development Challenge of “Epidemic Proportions” in Political Declaration Adopted During Landmark General Assembly Summit. https://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2011/ga11138.doc.htm
  10. WHO. (2016). The top 10 causes of death. World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs310/en/index2.html
  11. WHO. (2021). Noncommunicable diseases. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/noncommunicable-diseases
  12. WHO. (2022). Noncommunicable diseases. https://www.who.int/health-topics/noncommunicable-diseases#tab=tab_1